MAX - MediaAlpha Announces Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results

• Revenue of $153 million, up 1% year over year
  • Revenue from Property & Casualty down 8% year over year to $105 million
  • Revenue from Health up 25% year over year to $34 million
• Transaction Value of $255 million, up 17% year over year

MediaAlpha, Inc. (NYSE: MAX), today announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021.

“We faced headwinds in the third quarter. While our Transaction Value grew 17% year over year, we underperformed relative to expectations due to market challenges in our property and casualty (P&C) insurance vertical,” said Steve Yi, CEO of MediaAlpha. “Many of our P&C carrier partners are experiencing higher than expected insurance losses, driven by a post-pandemic increase in accident frequency and severity, as well as elevated catastrophe losses. These carriers are taking actions to restore profitability and have temporarily scaled back their marketing investments, and we are reducing our full year guidance accordingly. But the secular shift to direct, online customer acquisition remains powerful, and we are confident that growth in the auto insurance advertising market, and our results, will bounce back as underwriting profitability is restored. Importantly, our other verticals are unaffected by these trends, and our Health insurance vertical, in particular, continued its robust growth and is expected to have a strong fourth quarter.”

Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results

• Revenue of $152.7 million, an increase of 1% year over year;
• Transaction Value of $255.1 million, an increase of 17% year over year;
• Gross margin of 16.2%, compared with 13.7% in the third quarter of 2020;
• Contribution Margin ⁽¹⁾ of 17.1%, compared with 14.3% in the third quarter of 2020;
• Net loss was $(4.3) million, compared with net income of $4.8 million in the third quarter of 2020; and
• Adjusted EBITDA ⁽¹⁾ was $13.8 million, compared with $14.0 million in the third quarter of 2020.

⁽¹⁾ A reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP financial measures has been provided at the end of this press release. An explanation of these measures is also included below under the heading “Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

Financial Outlook

For the fourth quarter of 2021, MediaAlpha currently expects the following:

• Transaction Value between $241 million - $256 million, representing a 3% year-over-year decline at the midpoint of the guidance range;
• Revenue between $151 million - $161 million, representing an 18% year-over-year decline at the midpoint of the guidance range;
• Contribution between $25 million - $28 million, representing a 13% year-over-year decline at the midpoint of the guidance range; and
• Adjusted EBITDA between $13 million - $15 million, representing a 23% year-over-year decline at the midpoint of the guidance range.

For the full year 2021, MediaAlpha currently expects the following:

• Transaction Value between $1,015 million - $1,030 million, representing 25% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of the guidance range;
• Revenue between $635 million - $645 million, representing 9% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of the guidance range;
• Contribution between $106 million - $109 million, representing 16% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of the guidance range; and
• Adjusted EBITDA between $58 million - $60 million, representing 2% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of the guidance range.

The Company expects total shares outstanding at the end of the fourth quarter of 2021 to be 60.6 million and 64.4 million on a basic and fully diluted basis, respectively.

With respect to the Company’s projections of Contribution and Adjusted EBITDA under “Financial Outlook,” MediaAlpha is not providing a reconciliation of Contribution or Adjusted EBITDA to the respective GAAP measures because the Company is unable to predict with reasonable certainty the reconciling items that may affect gross profit and net income without unreasonable effort, including equity-based compensation, transaction expenses and income tax expense. These reconciling items are uncertain, depend on various factors and could significantly impact, either individually or in the aggregate, the GAAP measures for the applicable period.

For a detailed explanation of the Company’s non-GAAP measures, please refer to the appendix section of this press release.

Conference Call Information

MediaAlpha will host a Q&A conference call today to discuss the Company's third quarter 2021 results and its financial outlook for the fourth quarter and full year of 2021 at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time (5:00 p.m. Eastern Time). A live audio webcast of the call will be available on the MediaAlpha Investor Relations website at https://investors.mediaalpha.com . To register for the webcast, click here . Participants may also dial-in, toll-free, at (888) 330-2022 or (646) 960-0690, with passcode 3195092. An audio replay of the conference call will be available for two weeks following the call and available on the MediaAlpha Investor Relations website at https://investors.mediaalpha.com .

We have also posted to our investor relations website a letter to shareholders . We have used, and intend to continue to use, our investor relations website at https://investors.mediaalpha.com as a means of disclosing material nonpublic information and for complying with our disclosure obligations under Regulation FD.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including without limitation statements regarding our expectation of growth once the P&C insurance market recovers, and our financial outlook for the fourth quarter and full year 2021. These forward-looking statements reflect our current views with respect to, among other things, future events and our financial performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as “may,” “should,” “could,” “predict,” “potential,” “believe,” “will likely result,” “expect,” “continue,” “will,” “anticipate,” “seek,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “projection,” “would,” and “outlook,” or the negative version of those words or other comparable words or phrases of a future or forward-looking nature. These forward-looking statements are not historical facts, and are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about our industry, management’s beliefs and certain assumptions made by management, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and beyond our control. Accordingly, we caution you that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, assumptions and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date made, actual results may prove to be materially different from the results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.

There are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these forward-looking statements, including those more fully described in MediaAlpha’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including the Form 10-K filed on March 15, 2021, the Form 10-Q filed on May 14, 2021, the Form 10-Q filed on August 13, 2021, and the Form 10-Q as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2021 to be filed on or about November 12, 2021. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive. MediaAlpha disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that occur after the date of this press release.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Operating Metrics

This press release includes Adjusted EBITDA, Contribution, and Contribution Margin, which are non-GAAP financial measures. The Company also presents Transaction Value, which is an operating metric not presented in accordance with GAAP. See the appendix for definitions of Adjusted EBITDA, Contribution, Contribution Margin and Transaction Value, as well as reconciliations to the corresponding GAAP financial metrics, as applicable.

We present Transaction Value, Adjusted EBITDA, Contribution, and Contribution Margin because they are used extensively by our management and board of directors to manage our operating performance, including evaluating our operational performance against budget and assessing our overall operating efficiency and operating leverage. Accordingly, the Company believes that Transaction Value, Adjusted EBITDA, Contribution, and Contribution Margin provide useful information to investors and others in understanding and evaluating its operating results in the same manner as its management team and board of directors. Each of Transaction Value, Adjusted EBITDA, Contribution, and Contribution Margin has limitations as a financial measure and investors should not consider it in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP.

Key business and operating metrics

Transaction Value

We define “Transaction Value” as the total gross dollars transacted by our partners on our platform. Transaction Value is a driver of revenue, with differing revenue recognition based on the economic relationships we have with our partners. Our partners use our platform to transact via Open and Private Marketplace transactions. In our Open Marketplace model, Transaction Value is equal to the revenue recognized and revenue share payments to our supply partners represent costs of revenue. In our Private Marketplace model, revenue recognized represents a platform fee billed to the demand partner or supply partner based on an agreed-upon percentage of the Transaction Value for the Consumer Referrals transacted, and accordingly there are no associated costs of revenue. We utilize Transaction Value to assess revenue and to assess the overall level of transaction activity through our platform. We believe it is useful to investors to assess the overall level of activity on our platform and to better understand the sources of our revenue across our different transaction models and verticals.

The following table presents Transaction Value by platform model for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020:

The following table presents Transaction Value by vertical for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020:

Contribution and Contribution Margin

We define “Contribution” as revenue less revenue share payments and online advertising costs, or, as reported in our consolidated statements of operations, revenue less cost of revenue (i.e., gross profit), as adjusted to exclude the following items from cost of revenue: equity-based compensation; salaries, wages, and related; internet and hosting; amortization; depreciation; other services; and merchant-related fees. We define “Contribution Margin” as Contribution expressed as a percentage of revenue for the same period. Contribution and Contribution Margin are non-GAAP financial measures that we present to supplement the financial information we present on a GAAP basis. We use Contribution and Contribution Margin to measure the return on our relationships with our supply partners (excluding certain fixed costs), the financial return on and efficacy of our online advertising costs to drive consumers to our proprietary websites, and our operating leverage. We do not use Contribution and Contribution Margin as measures of overall profitability. We present Contribution and Contribution Margin because they are used by our management and board of directors to manage our operating performance, including evaluating our operational performance against budget and assessing our overall operating efficiency and operating leverage.

The following table reconciles Contribution with gross profit, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020:

Adjusted EBITDA

We define “Adjusted EBITDA” as net income excluding interest expense, income tax benefit (expense), depreciation expense on property and equipment, and amortization of intangible assets, as well as equity-based compensation expense and certain other adjustments as listed in the table below. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure that we present to supplement the financial information we present on a GAAP basis. We monitor and present Adjusted EBITDA because it is a key measure used by our management to understand and evaluate our operating performance, to establish budgets and to develop operational goals for managing our business. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA helps identify underlying trends in our business that could otherwise be masked by the effect of the expenses that we exclude in the calculations of Adjusted EBITDA. Accordingly, we believe that Adjusted EBITDA provides useful information to investors and others in understanding and evaluating our operating results, enhancing the overall understanding of our past performance and future prospects. In addition, presenting Adjusted EBITDA provides investors with a metric to evaluate the capital efficiency of our business.

The following table reconciles Adjusted EBITDA with net income, the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020.

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Investors
Denise Garcia
Hayflower Partners
Denise@HayflowerPartners.com

Press
Louise@MediaAlpha.com