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Markets are still grappling with the Federal Reserve's new framework, leading to a disconnect between market pricing and the Fed’s projections for rates.
U.S. job growth unexpectedly slowed in April. We believe near-term activity data will unlikely affect the Fed’s policy rate outlook and shouldn’t be extrapolated.
We expect broadly stable growth in China's total social financing - the broadest liquidity measure. U.S. retail data should shed light on the status of the restart.