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home / news releases / MBB - My Forecast Model For U.S. Treasury Returns


MBB - My Forecast Model For U.S. Treasury Returns

I'd like to share with readers my current US Treasury model. The model can be applied to choose bonds to invest in a traditional portfolio or, if you like a higher octane strategy, can be used in a risk parity strategy. Research shows bond yields tend to revert to the mean over time, which creates periodic opportunities (the last big opportunity was from July through November of 2018). However, Treasury yields are at the low end of their expected range at the moment, meaning future returns are expected to be low.

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Stock Information

Company Name: iShares MBS ETF
Stock Symbol: MBB
Market: NASDAQ

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