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VGSH - No Hunger Like Yield Hunger: This Bond Bull Could Run A Lot More
Vanguard Short-Term Government Bond ETF
Investment thesis
The basic thesis is that it takes bulls to make a bull market, and the long bond (TLT) now has both the technical and fundamental backdrop to complete the bull market move it has made since the bottom of the bond bear market last October. I'll begin with some technical points, then move to a brief discussion of fundamentals for bonds.
A structural bull market in long-term interest rates...
I use the 30-year Treasury bond because its interest rate is set mostly by the free market, whereas even 10-year T-bond is