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As discussed in "Navigating the Low-Rate Environment," artificially low rates are causing multiple price distortions and pockets of heightened risks. But there is nothing natural about this.
The so-called "natural rate" serves as a common goalpost for forecasters of inflation. The concept was coined by Swedish economist Knut Wicksell, and today can often be found at the center of discussions about monetary policy.
In Wicksell's words, the natural rate is "the rate of interest which would be determined by supply and demand if no use were made of money and all lending were