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The OPEC+ deal’s period of validity is nearing and I offer my analysis regarding the cartel’s future actions and their consequences for the fundamental state of the oil market.
Let us recall first what OPEC decided in December:
... the Conference decided to adjust OPEC overall production by 0.8 mb/d from October 2018 levels, effective as of January 2019, for an initial period of six months, with a review in April 2019...
Without Qatar, which has left the cartel, in October OPEC oil production was 32.3 mb/d. Subtract 0.8 mb/d from this figure and we