OXLC - Oxford Lane Capital: Why You Should Buy The Preferreds Over The Commons

2023-07-27 16:35:39 ET

Summary

• Oxford Lane Capital Corporation is a closed-end fund that primarily invests in collateralized loan obligations - CLOs, targeting the riskiest components (the equity and junior debt tranches).
• In my opinion, credit risk isn't the main problem with OXLC common stock - this CEF is too well diversified. What confuses me a lot is the erosion of capital.
• The FWD distribution yield of 17.84% looks impressive, but minus the high double-digit expense ratio, you'll be getting a mid-single-digit return most of the time.
• OXLC's preferred stocks look safer than its common stock. Read on to learn why.

The Company

Oxford Lane Capital Corporation ( OXLC ) is a closed-end fund ((CEF)) that primarily invests in collateralized loan obligations ((CLOs)), which are a type of investment vehicle deriving principal and interest from a pool of non-investment grade senior-secured corporate loans. These CLOs are structured by bundling secured debt loans into different risk tranches that determine the payment order and risk level, offering the potential for higher returns with higher risk.

OXLC's investment strategy targets the riskiest components of CLOs, specifically the equity and junior debt tranches, which offer potentially higher returns compared to the debt tranches. These CLOs are mainly collateralized by portfolios of senior loans issued to companies with unrated or below-investment-grade debt.

Historically, CLOs, especially equity tranches, have shown low default rates and strong returns compared to corporate debt across various rating categories. The situation started to worsen a while ago amid the rising rates environment, as shown by FitchRating's chart below:

OXLC typically allocates approximately 97% of its portfolio to CLO equity tranches, but its portfolio is quite diversified with 223 investments in it as of the latest data:

In my opinion, credit risk isn't the main problem with OXLC common stock - this CEF is too well diversified. What confuses me a lot is the erosion of capital over time - this is clearly seen in the table above ["Total fair value of investments" line] as you go from the far right end to the left. And it's not just about 2022 and 2023 when we saw the fastest tightening interest rate cycle in decades. Over the past 10 years, the fund has experienced a decline in its NAV by 73.6%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 ETF ( SPY ), whose NAV went up by 169.3%:

The disappointing performance can be attributed in part to the fund's relatively high expense ratio of 13.14% [including the leverage costs]:

The FWD distribution yield of 17.84% that you see when you first access this CEF's profile looks impressive, but minus the high double-digit expense ratio, you'll likely be getting a mid-single-digit return most of the time. At the same time, the lack of diversification by asset class (OXLC diversifies across CLOs and related products) gives investors an unstable investment when it comes to OXLC common stock that can't outperform SPY, and even the Dow Jones ETF ( IYY ):

Considering OXLC's historical performance and challenges, some investors may seek alternative ways to invest in the company, knowing its credit risks are quite low. That's where preferred securities come into play.

OXLC has several of them, and also junior notes that offer relatively higher dividend yields and greater security in the capital stack compared to the common stock.

Why do OXLC's preferred stocks look safer than its common stock? A couple of points here to consider:

• Preference in Dividends : Preferred stockholders receive dividends before common stockholders, while the payout is fixed and tied to the coupon. Here, investors are unlikely to see what they saw the last 10 years in common stock - I'm talking about the size of the dividend:

• Lower Volatility : It may be a piece of new information for some, but preferred stock behaves like a hybrid between stocks and bonds, leading to less volatility. In the case of OXLC preferred stock, we see how this rule is implemented in practice :

Yes, OXLC common stock has significantly outperformed other instruments in recent years (just relying on the same mid-single digit spread between distribution yield and expense ratio), but last year's performance demonstrated the importance of minimizing drawdowns:

Imagine you bought OXLC and managed to hold the stock for a year, but now you urgently need money and are forced to sell your position. The probability that you'll sell at a loss is higher for OXLC commons than with preferreds.

The Verdict

While CLO equity tranches have the potential to provide above-average returns, investing in OXLC has not delivered the expected results in the past. The fund's high expenses and declining performance suggest that the current trend of underperformance may persist for longer.

For investors still interested in Oxford Lane Capital, the preferred securities and junior notes could be more appealing with better security. Among the multitude of outstanding OXLC preferred shares, my favorite is the 2027 - ( OXLCP ) issue. It's relatively liquid and, with a yield of 6.85%, offers investors more stability than the OXLC commons in these turbulent times.

Thank you for reading!

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