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The consensus has been disturbed by inflation fears, raising worries about tighter monetary policy, higher bond yields and the interest rate sensitivity of equity markets.
When the primary cause of equity market volatility is rising rates, the traditional portfolio diversifiers, government bonds, are unlikely to offer protection.
At the start of the year, we were concerned about the level of short-term consensus even though we ultimately agreed with broad consensus views over the 12-month horizon of 2021.