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TCO - Reverse Engineered DCF Analysis Offers Insights Into Simon Property Group's Value
Taubman Centers Inc.
I have been illuminated by my recent application of reverse engineered discounted cash flow (RE-DCF) models. The idea is that instead of estimating inputs for revenue growth, changes in margin, capex, etc. to come up with a present value of all future cash flows, we start with a known value, the stock price. Then we adjust the inputs until the present value of all future cash flows matches where shares are trading. This way, we can get a picture of what the market expects the company to achieve to justify said stock price. If