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Gyrations in government bond markets in recent days have caught investors’ attention. We recap the drivers behind the reversal in interest rates and attempt to pin a fair value tail on the Bund donkey. We see higher yields as a distinct possibility in the short term, if the European central bank fails to step up purchases.
We still have a downward bias in rates
First things first, if we foresaw the sharp drop in interest rates at the beginning of March on the back of coronavirus concerns, we were