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It has been a rough start to the fall season, with a 10% materializing in the S&P 500 over the last 20 days so far.
Unfortunately, due to numerous detrimental fundamental factors surrounding the economy, it is still likely to get worse before things get better.
Stocks are far from cheap right now, and it is unlikely that most forward estimates can be relied on in my view.
There is likely more downside ahead, roughly to the 3,000 level in the S&P 500 in a base-case scenario, and plausibly lower in a worst-case scenario outcome.