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As I have written many times before, I believe that the Fed follows the market and does not lead it. In fact, you can read my last article on the matter right here, as it explains this perspective using many historical examples.
So, in following up on this perspective, let’s see if we can answer the question presented in the title to this article.
For those that have been following our analysis on bonds, we successfully called the top to the bond market back in 2016, and then re-entered the long side of the bond