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The recent performance of the UST 10-Year yield has underscored the uncertainty that has apparently gripped the bond market.
With the Fed’s aggressive use of quantitative easing (QE), one needs to take a deeper look at yield curves before drawing the same conclusions from the historical past.
Perhaps the best way to think about it is that the yield curve may need to reveal a much more noteworthy inversion before signaling a recession could be on the way.