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VEU - SP500: Mind The Uncertainty In The Short Run
Vanguard FTSE All World Ex US
Two and a half months ago, we wrote an article entitled 'The equity recovery can last for a while', in which we argued that stocks valuations in the US could diverge significantly from the economic reality. At that time, the SP500 index just consolidated to its 50% Fibonacci retracement of its February/March range, was still trading below its 50D SMA and many investors were concerned that the 200D SMA could revert its function and become a major resistance for US stocks. Figure 1 shows that despite the deterioration in economic news and the