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US equities have not been having a bad time recently, but have certainly been struggling to go higher.
China's slowdown, Evergrande contagion worries, supply chain disruptions, energy price surges, an appreciating dollar, rising Treasury yields, US debt ceiling anxiety, lingering Covid issues, North Korea firing missiles - it doesn't really feel like an optimal backdrop as we head into the fourth quarter.
While the world seems to be getting more concerned about the idea of "stagflation", it’s hard to fully sign up to the stagflation argument when the split between temporary price-level adjustment and entrenched higher price and wage-setting behaviour remains unclear.