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Despite the fact that the Funds have reduced their net long position by 40% in the past two weeks, they are still holding a net long position that is three times bigger than their net long positions at each of the 1675 lows.
We got the forecasted bounce and now it looks like we’re heading down to that positively divergent lower low or to new lows below 28.83 in September.
As with GDX, if the former, a break of the recent high of 12.72 suggests a move up to at least the 200-day moving average.