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You all know by now that I try to make this article as brief and to the point as possible so that busy people can get a sense of what's happening in the market quickly. This week I'm focusing on two things: the inverted yield curve, and the recession warning from my econometric model.
I'll leave bear market predictions to others.
The chart below is the one that keeps me up at night. It's my recession forecasting model, and it's flashing red now. I won't