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The performance of the U.S. stock market has been very impressive over the past decade - posting total returns of over 300%. Over the past three years alone, SPY has returned nearly 50%, an astonishing figure that is roughly double historical averages.
Following the large gains of recent years, the valuation multiple of the S&P 500 (SPY) has expanded close to all-time highs with a P/E ratio of almost 22 - up to a 30% premium to its historical average despite being in a late cycle economy: