DXD - The Bond Market Has A Supply/Demand Problem Signaling Much Higher Interest Rates Ahead
- The supply of new Treasury debt should average at least $1.5 trillion a year over the next 5 years.
- Household debt growth is also likely to soar, both mortgage and unsecured debt.
- At current interest rates, investor demand doesn't seem nearly sufficient to fund the total of $4 trillion of new debt coming to market annually.
- I therefore expect the 10-year Treasury yield to hit 3% over the next 5 years, and maybe 4%. Don't buy bonds.
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The Bond Market Has A Supply/Demand Problem, Signaling Much Higher Interest Rates Ahead