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Last year was certainly full of surprises - from rising inflation and interest rates to geopolitical turmoil and slower GDP growth - and 2023 will likely bring its fair share, too.
In late 2022, year-over-year transaction volumes dropped 37%, 49%, and 68% in September, October, and November, respectively.
As for the broader economy, real GDP growth - which, we believe, tends to be correlated to unlevered cash-flow growth - is expected to slide to 0.3% in 2023 from 1.9% in 2022.