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If I had to summarize my view of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, it would be this:
Markets tend to be more inefficient in the short term and more efficient in the long term.
One way of thinking about this is that the information we obtain in the short term tends to be incomplete. So, investors have to make informed guesses about market prices. This makes the short-term prices "wrong" at all times.
In my book, I talked about one of my favorite ways to think about the inefficiency of markets - price compression. The basic