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In 2018, the US Federal Reserve increased the short-term Feds Fund rate by 25 basis point four times. Coming into last year, the central bank had told markets to expect three one-quarter of one-point increases. Economic growth and the lowest unemployment rate in a half-century led the Fed to tighten credit. At the same time, the Fed continued to reduce its swollen balance sheet to the tune of $50 billion per month last year. Allowing the legacy of quantitative easing to roll off put upward pressure on interest rates further out along the yield curve.