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At last, gold bugs have something to celebrate. In February, the yellow metal broke through $1,650, a level not seen since 2013, when gold entered a prolonged bear market. What is driving the gold price higher and how may market fundamentals influence its price in the future?
A look at the evolution of gold prices since the great financial crisis shows that movements in gold prices often corresponded to changes in real rates. Gold increases when real yields drop, and vice-versa. Real rates are usually defined as 10-year treasury yields (essentially, a