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Tensions in the Persian Gulf - the world's key oil exporting region - have risen sharply. Yet, oil trades well below its late-2018 peaks - and oil-related equities have lagged the broader market. What explains the disconnect? We delve into both short-term and long-term oil market fundamentals, geopolitics and the macro outlook.
Chart of the week
Oil prices and Gulf tensions BGRI, 2018-2019
Sources: BlackRock Investment Institute, with data from Refinitiv, June 2019. Notes: Under the BGRI framework we identify specific words related to geopolitical risk in general and to our top-10 risks, including Gulf