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Macroeconomists are split on the key issue of inflation versus deflation and there are valid arguments being made on both sides. The debate ultimately boils down to whether the surge in government bond issuance and money printing will continue to be offset by an even greater increase in the willingness of individuals and businesses to hoard cash. This in turn will depend on which members of society receive the additional supply of money. With the prospect of additional and larger stimulus check issuance gaining momentum, we think the odds are heavily stacked in favor of