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CLTL - The Inverted Yield Curve: Another Viewpoint
Invesco Treasury Collateral
The news coming out of the bond market at the end of the week was the inversion of the yield curve.
The concern: every time the yield curve has been inverted in modern times, the US economy has always gone into a recession.
Let me just issue a word of caution here.
We are in a new era. The past ten years have provided us with financial market behavior that has been completely out-of-sync with previous economic recoveries.
When, for example, has there been an expansion of monetary assets in the banking system inserted by