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DTUS - The Inverted Yield Curve: Why It Will Not Lead To A Recession This Time
Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L519
Summary and Paper Thesis
Although an inverted yield curve led to a recession almost without exception in the last 50 years within a relatively short period of time after the inversion happened, this paper asserts that the inverted yield curve that happened in March and April of 2019 will not lead to a recession this time. There are a few reasons for this conclusion, and these reasons include:
The primary reason for the inverted yield curve is the irrational approach of the central banks to increase the interest rates.