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DZZ - The Most Important Gold Fundamental Right Now
DB Gold Double Short ETN due February 15 2038
There are seven inputs to our Gold True Fundamentals Model, one of which is an indicator of US credit spreads.
When economic confidence is high or in a rising trend, credit spreads will be narrow or in a narrowing trend.
We doubt that confidence will hover at a high level for a lengthy period this time around. Instead, we expect that there will be an economic confidence reversal within the next few months.
However, there is no need to forecast the reversal, because credit spreads should provide us with a timely warning.