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IVOV - The Next Equity Market Rally May Depend On The Fed
Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value
Summary
U.S. equity indexes, having declined sharply in 2022, are fighting the Fed as 2023 begins.
The inverted yield curve argues for recession, and equities appear to have discounted a significant probability of at least a mild recession.
The bottom line is that, unlike the last four equity rallies of the 1990s, the early 2000s, 2010-2019, and the post-pandemic rally of 2020-2021, any equity rally this time around will have to fight the Fed.