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VNQ - The Next Recession: Why REITs Are My Favorite Sector To Ride Out The Down Cycle
Vanguard Real Estate
The next recession is coming. We cannot predict its exact timing, but what we know is the occur:
Generally every 5 to 10 years;
when unemployment rates hit 4% to 5% figures;
and when the yield curve becomes inverted.
These factors combined are a powerful signal that has accurately predicted recessions in the past. Today, we are 11 years into the expansion, unemployment is below 4% for the first time since 1969, and the yield curve recently inverted for the first time in a decade.
At the same time, investors are rightfully concerned because stocks,