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It would be an understatement to say that a sustained increase in international oil prices is the last thing that a slowing global economy now needs. It would also be true to say that a sustained increase in oil prices would likely lead to a further strengthening of the US dollar that would heighten US-European trade tensions.
Yesterday's record 15 percent jump in international oil prices on the heels of a major Saudi Arabian oil supply disruption comes at a time when the global economy is already slowing. Indeed, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Italy