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MCHI - The Prisoner-Fed Dilemma: Rates Can Move Down Quickly
iShares MSCI China ETF
Overview
Earlier this week, just after Powell's dovish speech, investors priced in an over 30% probability for a 50 bp cut to the Fed Funds at the next FOMC meeting (July 30-31).
Shortly after, the minutes of the previous FOMC meeting got published, showing that discussions regarding how a new QE program may look like have already taken place. The possibility for a 50 bp cut seemed more real than ever before.
But then, out of the blue, the US (SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM) inflation figures were released and they