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IWL - The Stock Market Has Not Been This Overvalued In 40 Years
iShares Russell Top 200
Low rates won't push markets higher. This concept that low interest rates will support higher PE multiples is merely false. History has shown that low rates do not lead to higher PE multiples, and that means the notion that this low-interest environment will support elevated multiples won't last.
Time has shown that PE multiples on the S&P 500 and the 10-Year Treasury have no correlation, and sometimes, even travel in the same direction. But what seems to matter more to the equity market is earnings and the expectations around long-term earnings growth. When evaluating the