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Recent Federal Reserve (FED) developments are pointing toward a clear path for the FOMC to lower rates in July. The June FOMC statement further supports Powell’s dovish stance, outlining a list of reasons for lower rates and guiding market expectations toward easing. A strong June jobs report may have kept the Fed on hold for now, but I think the Street is right and the stage is set for an end-July rate cut and one more in September.
Unsurprisingly, Treasuries have rallied. Perhaps, too much though as the market seems to have overshot to