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SPYX - U.S. CPI Should Keep The Fed Hawkish - For Now
SPDR S&P 500 Fossil Fuel Reserves Free
We think the Federal Reserve is likely to remain hawkish both in policy and communication until there is a turn in either the labor data or an improvement in inflation.
Housing activity is already decelerating and is at the leading edge of Fed policy. As housing activity slows, pricing should normalize off of elevated levels.
We believe the Fed will try to avoid being a source of market volatility, but rather emphasize its data-dependent approach while seeking to ensure that its reaction function is well articulated.