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UBS AG London Branch ZC SP ETRACS REDEEM 22/02/2046 USD 25 - Ser B
Welcome to the decelerating edition of Oil Markets Daily!
EIA released its latest drilling productivity report today. We purposely waited a few months before updating our model as we wanted the DPR to get more revised data from the EIA 914. Indeed, we saw massive revision downward in Eagle Ford and Permian production in the DPR.
There are two overwhelming conclusions one can reach looking at the latest data:
US shale growth will still be strong in 2019 but weaker than the growth we saw in 2018.
2020 US shale growth will decelerate materially assuming