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We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop.
Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week, as oil prices came off highs. The European Central Bank accelerated policy normalization.
The Fed is set to raise its policy rate by 0.25% this week - the first hike since the pandemic started. We still see a historically muted response to inflation.