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We are tactically upgrading equities as we see greater clarity on the Ukraine conflict and reduced risk of central banks slamming the brakes to curb inflation.
The S&P 500 slid into correction territory as Russia invaded Ukraine last week, but rebounded afterward. Bond prices showed declining diversification benefits.
We could see the market’s focus return to inflation, growth and central bank policy. This week’s U.S. jobs report and euro area inflation feed into all three.