QVMS - Weekly Indicators: Changes Afoot

• High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy.
• The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators.
• While all three time frames remain positive, there are changes affecting interest rates, the US$ and commodity prices.
• Bond investors appear to be increasingly convinced that the Fed will be raising rates.
• Meanwhile, commodity prices are roiled in conflicting directions, and a newly stronger US$ can negatively impact trade.

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