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IEF - What Remains Of The Inflation Scare Of October 2021?
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
For the five year five year forward inflation expectations inferred from market rates, there was a 27 bps jump going from 9/23 to 10/15, before retracing back to prior levels at end-October (and subsequently rising again).
Kim, Walsh and Wei compare their implied expected inflation rates against those provided by other researchers in this Fed Notes.
While the series as updated by KWW is just one estimate, it’s interesting that by 2019, all the estimated inflation series had converged.