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Back in the days of QE, I noticed a pattern that during QEs, the expected future date of the first rate hike would remain relatively level, but when QEs were stopped, the expected future date of the first rate hike would move ahead in time.
In other words, if the first rate hike was expected to be in December 2012 when a QE round began, it would still be about December 2012 when QE ended. Then, after QE ended, five months later, the expected date of the first rate hike will have moved back to