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Sell-side institutions have turned moderately to significantly bearish on the US dollar in recent months.
Some banks are expecting up to 20% USD depreciation in 2021.
We do not think that the USD will continue to weaken indefinitely from current levels as some economies (Euro area, Japan) are not ready to pay for the dollar weakness.
We think that the USD may depreciate a little bit further in the short term, but we do not expect another major correction in 2021.