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We recently cut risk, but stick with stocks over bonds for now. Equity prices now reflect much of the worsening macro outlook and hawkish Fed, in our view.
Markets came to grips last week with the trade-off central banks face: choke off growth or live with inflation. Yields fell and stocks bounced off new 2022 lows.
U.S. retail sales and other activity data will give investors a read on growth momentum. We believe the restart from pandemic lockdowns has room to run.