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After a dramatic "risk-on" rotation beginning in early 2020, we greet the new year with a technically oversold US currency and overbought stock market.
In other words, investor positioning has become lopsided, arguing that a countertrend bounce in the "greenback" and near-term drawdowns in stocks may be in store.
Looking further ahead, however, I believe the "buck" should continue to depreciate for a host of reasons, and expect the current weak dollar cycle to last for years to come.