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EEH - World Trade Data Confirms That Global Equities Look Fragile
Aktiebolaget Svensk Exportkredit Elements Linked to the SPECTRUM Large Cap U.S. Sector Momentum Index developed by BNP Paribas due Augu
According to CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, World Exports (Volume) experienced a significant decline in April, down 16.8% YoY, registering their highest contraction since May 2009 (-19%). While EM exports fell by 'only' 6.5%, they experienced a titanic drop of 24.8% in advanced economies, the strongest contraction in history (figure 1, left frame). As we know, the world was already slowing down prior to the COVID-19 crisis as most of the business surveys had already been weakening since the beginning of 2018. It is interesting to see world trade exports, which have historically