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Last week the 10-year bond inverted with the 3-month Treasury bill and that was a factor in the big market decline on Friday. The reason people worry about a yield curve inversion is it has historically been a signal of an upcoming recession. However, when looking at the data and other factors, this yield curve inversion is clearly different from past inversions.
Historical yield curve inversions
When looking at the past three yield curve inversions, I noticed a clear pattern, which was broken by the recent yield curve inversion. For the last three