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One factor likely having an outsized influence on the Federal Reserve’s interest policy is the current level of inflation.
In an effort to curb some demand, at the conclusion of the Fed’s March 16 meeting, the Federal Reserve embarked on a path to increase interest rates, the Fed Funds rate specifically, with a .25% or 25 basis point increase.
The significance of an inverted yield curve is the fact every U.S. recession in the past 60 years has been preceded by an inverted yield curve.