ACTV News and Press, TWO RDS SHARED TR From 07/19/24

2024-07-19 06:34:07 ET Summary The recent labor market data continues to point to a borderline recession. The rotation out of mega-cap tech stocks points to a Gen AI bubble burst. Thus, the S&P 500 is facing a recessionary bear market with a bubble burst. Two ris...

2024-07-19 04:10:00 ET Summary In the week ending July 13th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 243,000, an increase of 20,000 from the previous week's figure. The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.2 percent for the week ending ...

2024-07-18 14:50:00 ET Summary We are concerned that the U.S. Federal Reserve may wait too long to follow other major central banks in making its first cut. We think political and market volatility is likely to rise in the second half of the year, with the potential to persist wel...

2024-07-18 13:40:00 ET Summary Can U.S. markets continue to outperform? Why U.S. markets have strayed "pretty far into overvalued territory". The sector rotation out of big tech and into smaller-caps. Shares of big tech have been losing steam recently after pushing U.S. ...

2024-07-18 07:40:00 ET Summary Fed Funds rate currently above T-Bill rates, historically follows T-Bill direction with a margin for flexibility. Fed's belief in market psychology of "Fed in charge", historical misses in predicting recessions. The Fed will cut its rate once the...

2024-07-18 06:30:00 ET Summary More data was released indicating greater disinflationary progress in the US - which, in my view, means we will get a Federal Reserve rate cut this quarter. I think this will be a rather positive earnings season. S&P 500 companies are forecasted ...

2024-07-17 22:10:00 ET Summary The combination of the Great Financial Crisis period and the Covid era created some of the most interesting economic experiments in history, which also resulted in some of the worst narratives in finance and economics. In the wake of the Financial Cr...

2024-07-17 21:45:00 ET Summary Government borrowing and the national debt are barely getting a mention in the US election campaign, yet a failure to change trajectory risks further debt downgrades, more market volatility and higher borrowing costs. This will pose ec...

2024-07-17 21:10:00 ET Summary The teen labor force includes both the number of teens who have a job and the number of unemployed teens who do not but are trying to get one. The seasonally-adjusted data shows the combined total of Age 16-19 teens with jobs declined a small amount ...

2024-07-17 08:30:00 ET Summary Explore key themes from our Secular Outlook, including fiscal policy, geopolitical risks, AI, and upcoming elections, and learn how these factors could shape the future of fixed income markets. 2024 elections obviously can potentially be a disruptor ...