BILS News and Press, SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 3-12 Month T-Bill From 11/03/21

The recent run higher in the Sharpe ratio for the Global Market Index finally reversed in October. Risk-adjusted performance has slipped, but GMI's rebound in October lifted it to a new record high. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio de...

US real estate investment trusts (REITs) and stocks posted the strongest returns for the major asset classes in October - by wide margins. US REITs surged 7.7% last month, reversing September’s sharp decline. The recovery puts American property shares in the lead for 2021 with ...

A decent US jobs figure will allow the Fed to announce the taper next month. Inflation will keep the pressure on the Fed, arguing for further steepening of the curve into next week's bond supply. The ECB has yet to figure out how to react to higher inflation, but also avoid the ne...

It's hard to see the economy stumbling when liquidity is super-abundant and borrowing costs are incredibly low. Even if the Fed finishes its tapering and starts raising its target funds rate well before anyone currently expects them to, they will still have to counteract the super-abu...

Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in September for the Global Market Index (GMI), an unmanaged, market-value-weighted portfolio that holds all the major asset classes (except cash). GMI’s 0.97 Sharpe ratio is close to the highest levels reached in recent history. ...

Inflation concerns are a problem for fixed income markets. But it is a return to positive economic surprises that will prove the most potent driver of higher rates in the coming weeks. As the ECB diverts the focus away from the amount of its purchases, we think sovereign spreads s...

Rates have adjusted higher over the course of the week, with the unabated rise in energy prices adding to the backdrop of central banks having turned more hawkish. Next week's US jobs data could cement a Fed taper announcement in November and add to the markets' feeling of a mistake i...

Global markets suffered their broadest retreat in a year during September. The bullish exception: commodities, which delivered a solid gain last month. Notably, US stocks and bonds lost ground, giving support to concerns that the historical diversification benefits of pairing the two ...

The rates market sell-off has extended, albeit losing some steam. While the GBP inflation narrative grabbed the headlines, USD rates dynamics indicate it is more a repricing of monetary policy. Only the ECB is distancing itself from the hawkish turn, at least with some success as ...

The Evergrande saga continues to dictate daily ups and downs in the rates market. Government bonds benefit from safe haven demand despite stagflation fears and the risk of central bank response, but these haven’t disappeared. USD and GBP curve flattening seem like the most ...