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2024-04-27 18:10:00 ET Summary Amrita Roy and Rob Isbitts are bullish on T-bills and gold as defensive investments in the current macroeconomic environment. Has gold sniffed out that the Fed's 2% inflation rate may not be achievable? There is a tug of war between inflationary ...
2024-04-27 06:25:00 ET Summary The 10yr minus 3mo Treasury rate (Yield Curve) is moving higher at a rapid pace as investors adjust their inflation thinking to being more persistent in the 3-4% range. 88% of portfolio managers in the Bank of America Fund Managers Survey last week b...
2024-04-19 12:31:19 ET Summary The Fed has implemented backdoor quantitative easing through bank bailouts and subsidies in the overnight repo market, distorting the stock market. Promised rate cuts by the Fed may not materialize due to the record amount of Treasuries being sold an...
2024-04-08 15:00:00 ET Summary The bond market outlook has improved as expected rate cuts align more closely with the Fed. Easing financial conditions from asset price changes may lead to continued uncertainty around policy restrictiveness, undermining the urgency and need for pol...
2024-04-06 02:30:00 ET Summary We think the Fed peaked in July 2023. Technically, we won’t know for sure until they cut. But, had a Martian alien landed on Earth and simply eyeballed the current movement of the 10yr yield, they’d likely conclude that the Fed had not ...
2024-04-01 13:00:25 ET More on SPDR® Bloomberg Barclays 3-12 Month T-Bill ETF Treasury-Backed Term Repo Futures BILS: A Place To Park Cash To Pay The Bills Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on SPDR® Bloomberg Barclays 3-12 Month T-Bill ETF Dividen...
2024-03-28 21:16:54 ET Summary Conservative investors have been favoring the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury ETF, which pays out a yield of 5%+. With the Fed proclaiming "peak rates" this month, the future of rates is uncertain and likely lower. Lower future rates make fixed-rate i...
2024-03-13 10:50:00 ET Summary The combination of the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the yield curve has been warning of imminent recession since September 2023. The March 2024 new high for the SPX suggests that a recession will not start any sooner than May 2024. By o...
2024-03-08 09:15:00 ET Summary The current yield curve inversion has turned out to be the longest and deepest inversion in 50 years, lasting 18 months and several times hitting negative 100 basis points. The Fed's actions were in response to runaway inflation that turned out to be...
2024-03-06 20:20:00 ET Summary In 2024, like in recent years, the Federal Reserve policy rate trajectory remains top of mind for investors. While we have already seen a few emerging market central banks start to reduce interest rates, many of the developed markets have only just f...
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2024-02-07 19:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-11 09:45:08 ET BTC iShares iBoxx USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) HYG is trading UP for the last 5 days, and it at trading at $77.41 with volume of 9,929,440 and a one day change of $0.04 (0.05%). BTC iShares iBoxx USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF has a 52-week low o...
2023-11-25 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...